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MLB · Sun, Aug 9, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 1 · 7 Washington Nationals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.01 | +13.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +22.9% | 0 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +20.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +12.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +7.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Noelvi Marte | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +4.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +3.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +2.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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