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MLB · Mon, Aug 10, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Boston Red Sox 1 · 2 Toronto Blue Jays. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +35.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jameson Taillon | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +13.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +10.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.32 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +9.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.77 | +4.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +2.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +2.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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