Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Aug 13, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 7 · 1 Minnesota Twins. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.85 | +2.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaelen Culpepper | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.99 | +64.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +36.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +34.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +32.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +26.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +26.2% | 8 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +23.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +18.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +12.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +12.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +11.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +7.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +7.0% | 2 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +3.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.76 | +2.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +2.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.