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MLB · Sat, Aug 15, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 9 · 1 Minnesota Twins. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +35.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +23.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +20.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +15.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +8.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +5.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +3.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +2.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 1.92 | +2.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +0.3% | 8 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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