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MLB · Sat, Aug 15, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 8 · 4 Chicago Cubs. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.59 | +4.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +25.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.10 | +25.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +15.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +10.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.96 | +9.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +8.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +4.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +3.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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