Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 7 · 5 Minnesota Twins. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.93 | +3.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.85 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Stubbs | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +44.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Dean Kremer | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.18 | +35.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +28.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +20.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +13.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +8.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +4.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +3.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +2.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.