Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 2026
San Diego Padres at New York Mets
Final score: San Diego Padres 1 · 2 New York Mets. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +49.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +21.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +19.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +18.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +17.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +11.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +8.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +7.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +6.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +5.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jorge Polanco | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +4.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.71 | +3.9% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.