Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 · 9 Boston Red Sox. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +21.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +20.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.93 | +18.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +17.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.73 | +16.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +11.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +10.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +8.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +2.8% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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