Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Aug 18, 2026
San Diego Padres at New York Mets
Final score: San Diego Padres 5 · 2 New York Mets. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +13.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Thornton | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.81 | +41.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +11.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Rengifo | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +7.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +4.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +1.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +0.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.