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MLB · Wed, Aug 19, 2026
San Diego Padres at New York Mets
Final score: San Diego Padres 2 · 4 New York Mets. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +12.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +0.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +27.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +24.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Robert Stock | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +24.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +11.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.46 | +11.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +6.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +4.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +4.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +2.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jorge Polanco | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +2.4% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 15 | 53.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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