Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Aug 20, 2026
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: New York Yankees 6 · 1 Baltimore Orioles. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +23.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +18.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +15.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +13.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.80 | +11.6% | 8 | LOSS |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.83 | +4.7% | 5 | WIN |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or New York Yankees that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 13.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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