Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Aug 20, 2026
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: New York Yankees 6 · 1 Baltimore Orioles. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +23.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +18.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +15.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +13.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.80 | +11.6% | 8 | LOSS |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.83 | +4.7% | 5 | WIN |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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