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MLB · Sun, Aug 23, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Chicago Cubs 19 · 2 Seattle Mariners. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.89 | +5.0% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.93 | +1.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +50.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +33.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +27.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +25.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +25.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +19.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Weston Wilson | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +17.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +8.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.65 | +4.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +4.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Brock Rodden | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +3.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 28 | 25.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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