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MLB · Tue, Aug 25, 2026
Houston Astros at New York Yankees
Final score: Houston Astros 9 · 7 New York Yankees. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +31.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Ethan Pecko | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.13 | +31.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +30.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +25.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +23.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.51 | +19.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +18.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +17.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +17.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +11.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +6.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +5.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +3.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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