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MLB · Wed, Aug 26, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: Chicago Cubs 4 · 5 Arizona Diamondbacks. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +1.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.43 | +43.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Clay Holmes | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.06 | +42.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +36.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +33.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.87 | +31.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +24.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +24.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Pfaadt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.75 | +22.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +18.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +17.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +17.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +15.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +13.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +13.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +11.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +9.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +7.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Lars Nootbaar | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +6.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Pedro Ramirez | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.12 | +0.4% | 9 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds | 12 | 58.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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