Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Aug 28, 2026
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Final score: Boston Red Sox 0 · 1 New York Yankees. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.39 | +8.3% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.93 | +5.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.55 | +34.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Ali Sanchez | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +13.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Patrick Sandoval | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +8.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +1.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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