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MLB · Fri, Aug 28, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 10 · 8 Chicago Cubs. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.53 | +2.8% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.83 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Johnson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +26.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| David Peterson | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.64 | +20.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.71 | +0.1% | 5 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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