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MLB · Sun, Aug 30, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 7 · 5 Chicago Cubs. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.70 | +7.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +24.0% | 8 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +22.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +21.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +18.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +16.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +16.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.67 | +0.5% | 7 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Cincinnati Reds that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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