Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Sep 5, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 9 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.95 | +6.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.80 | +53.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +48.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.24 | +47.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Daniel Lynch IV | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 2.5 | 1.60 | +28.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +10.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +9.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +8.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +7.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +5.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +3.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +3.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +3.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.73 | +3.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +0.2% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.