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MLB · Tue, Sep 8, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 9 · 5 Baltimore Orioles. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +4.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.79 | +26.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +9.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +9.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +8.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.64 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Holliday | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +5.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.5% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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