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MLB · Wed, Sep 9, 2026
Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres
Final score: Washington Nationals 4 · 9 San Diego Padres. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.58 | +10.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.37 | +45.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +38.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Kent | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +36.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +11.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Casey Mize | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +10.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.00 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +5.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +3.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +3.4% | 12 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +2.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +1.5% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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