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MLB · Fri, Sep 11, 2026
New York Mets at New York Yankees
Final score: New York Mets 4 · 6 New York Yankees. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.70 | +1.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +30.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +27.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +21.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +17.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +12.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +3.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +2.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or New York Mets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 13.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 15 | 53.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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