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MLB · Sat, Sep 12, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 5 · 4 Minnesota Twins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.11 | +36.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +30.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +25.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.07 | +25.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.09 | +16.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +14.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +14.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.86 | +12.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +6.8% | 1 | WIN |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Kaelen Culpepper | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +2.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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