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MLB · Sat, Sep 12, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 5 · 4 Minnesota Twins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.11 | +36.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +30.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +25.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.07 | +25.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.09 | +16.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +14.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +14.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.86 | +12.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +6.8% | 1 | WIN |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Kaelen Culpepper | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +2.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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