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MLB · Sat, Sep 12, 2026
New York Mets at New York Yankees
Final score: New York Mets 12 · 2 New York Yankees. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +34.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +33.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zach Thornton | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +27.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +26.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +23.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Ali Sanchez | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +18.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.46 | +13.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +10.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +1.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +0.7% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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