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MLB · Tue, Sep 15, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Atlanta Braves 6 · 3 Chicago Cubs. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +41.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +28.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +27.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +20.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +20.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| B.J. Murray Jr. | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +19.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +15.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +13.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Martin Perez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.89 | +5.0% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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