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MLB · Wed, Sep 16, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Atlanta Braves 4 · 8 Chicago Cubs. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.99 | +7.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +51.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +37.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +35.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +34.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +33.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +23.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +22.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.72 | +17.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +17.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.63 | +2.3% | 8 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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