Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Sep 19, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3 · 10 New York Mets. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.04 | +3.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +27.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +26.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +23.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +18.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.29 | +15.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | +0.0% | 7 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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