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NFL · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Final score: Carolina Panthers 34 · 3 Atlanta Falcons. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 2.5 | 2.02 | +5.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahan Dotson | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.10 | +31.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | over | 55.5 | 1.89 | +27.6% | 51 | LOSS |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | over | 57.5 | 1.90 | +25.7% | 51 | LOSS |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | over | 56.5 | 1.88 | +25.6% | 51 | LOSS |
| Jahan Dotson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.93 | +21.4% | 11 | WIN |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +18.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +17.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.24 | +17.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +13.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.90 | +9.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | over | 81.5 | 1.91 | +7.7% | 72 | LOSS |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | over | 80.5 | 1.88 | +7.6% | 72 | LOSS |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.88 | +5.9% | 9 | WIN |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.92 | +5.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | over | 82.5 | 1.89 | +5.1% | 72 | LOSS |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.87 | +0.4% | 51 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Falcons or Carolina Panthersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers | 45 | 64.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers | 32 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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