Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Nov 8, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Final score: Cincinnati Bengals 34 · 17 Atlanta Falcons. 33 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.50 | +2.0% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | 3 | 2.00 | +0.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olamide Zaccheaus | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.89 | +48.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jahan Dotson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.88 | +37.7% | 16 | WIN |
| Jahan Dotson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 28.5 | 1.90 | +36.8% | 16 | WIN |
| Jahan Dotson | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.44 | +36.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.89 | +31.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Brown | Cincinnati Bengals | Rushing Yards | over | 49.5 | 1.91 | +24.5% | 57 | WIN |
| Dohnte Meyers | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.69 | +20.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Chase Brown | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +19.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +18.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Michael Penix Jr. | Atlanta Falcons | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.80 | +18.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 2.02 | +17.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | under | 97.5 | 1.90 | +16.6% | 100 | LOSS |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.19 | +15.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Khalil Herbert | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +14.9% | 7 | WIN |
| Mike Gesicki | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.92 | +13.6% | 11 | LOSS |
| Chase Brown | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.60 | +12.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | over | 26.5 | 1.93 | +12.8% | 47 | WIN |
| Mike Gesicki | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.86 | +12.6% | 11 | LOSS |
| Dohnte Meyers | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.88 | +11.5% | 47 | WIN |
| Samaje Perine | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | over | 5.5 | 1.88 | +11.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dohnte Meyers | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.93 | +11.5% | 47 | WIN |
| Tee Higgins | Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving Yards | under | 76.5 | 1.89 | +11.5% | 32 | WIN |
| Ja'Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | under | 6.5 | 2.10 | +9.5% | 10 | LOSS |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | Passing Yards | under | 278.5 | 1.89 | +8.6% | 271 | WIN |
| Mike Gesicki | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.96 | +8.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | Passing TDs | over | 2.5 | 2.39 | +7.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Tee Higgins | Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +5.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Samaje Perine | Cincinnati Bengals | Rushing Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.94 | +5.1% | 43 | WIN |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 77.5 | 1.89 | +2.9% | 68 | WIN |
| Drake London | Atlanta Falcons | Receiving Yards | under | 76.5 | 1.90 | +1.9% | 68 | WIN |
| Michael Penix Jr. | Atlanta Falcons | Rushing Yards | under | 4.5 | 1.92 | +0.5% | 50 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Falcons or Cincinnati Bengals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 35 | 54.3% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals | 39 | 17.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens | 37 | 43.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons | 33 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons | 37 | 40.5% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.