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NFL · Sun, Oct 18, 2026
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Final score: Baltimore Ravens 10 · 13 Cleveland Browns. 36 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 3 | 1.89 | +2.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 39.5 | 1.89 | +2.1% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.60 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens | Passing Yards | under | 164.5 | 1.89 | +70.9% | 165 | LOSS |
| Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens | Passing Yards | under | 163.5 | 1.89 | +70.5% | 165 | LOSS |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +40.2% | 4 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.84 | +34.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 59.5 | 1.91 | +32.5% | 66 | WIN |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 58.5 | 1.87 | +31.2% | 66 | WIN |
| Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | over | 29.5 | 1.93 | +30.6% | 29 | LOSS |
| Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +28.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | over | 30.5 | 1.93 | +26.8% | 29 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.91 | +26.7% | 0 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.88 | +25.8% | 37 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 21.5 | 1.92 | +21.5% | 0 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 39.5 | 1.90 | +21.4% | 37 | WIN |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.89 | +20.8% | 69 | WIN |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +19.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.88 | +19.2% | 28 | LOSS |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 20.5 | 1.90 | +17.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.88 | +15.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.88 | +13.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | over | 89.5 | 1.89 | +12.6% | 58 | LOSS |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 47.5 | 1.88 | +8.5% | 15 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.90 | +7.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | over | 93.5 | 1.91 | +6.9% | 58 | LOSS |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.79 | +5.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.60 | +4.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.86 | +4.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.39 | +2.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.89 | +1.7% | 9 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 28.5 | 1.89 | +1.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 50.5 | 1.88 | +0.6% | 15 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.87 | +0.5% | 9 | LOSS |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.95 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Browns or Baltimore Ravens that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at New York Jets | 42 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 36 | 52.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys | 55 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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