Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 18, 2026
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Final score: Tennessee Titans 26 · 20 Indianapolis Colts. 42 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -7 | 1.95 | +13.3% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -6.5 | 1.83 | +11.0% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.70 | +11.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 26.5 | 1.90 | +75.2% | 21 | WIN |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.90 | +73.6% | 21 | WIN |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.57 | +48.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +44.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.93 | +41.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.01 | +39.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.81 | +37.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 45.5 | 1.88 | +36.1% | 82 | LOSS |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.91 | +31.5% | 82 | LOSS |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +30.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.88 | +29.6% | 40 | WIN |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.90 | +28.3% | 40 | WIN |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.87 | +27.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing Yards | under | 208.5 | 1.89 | +26.7% | 102 | WIN |
| Carnell Tate | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 55.5 | 1.88 | +26.6% | 70 | LOSS |
| Carnell Tate | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 54.5 | 1.88 | +24.9% | 70 | LOSS |
| Seth McGowan | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.91 | +24.3% | 27 | WIN |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.85 | +23.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.89 | +23.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing Yards | under | 205.5 | 1.88 | +22.7% | 102 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 90.5 | 1.89 | +19.9% | 94 | LOSS |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.83 | +19.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 89.5 | 1.91 | +19.7% | 94 | LOSS |
| Carnell Tate | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.00 | +18.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.91 | +16.1% | 57 | LOSS |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.93 | +15.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | under | 232.5 | 1.89 | +15.5% | 269 | LOSS |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +14.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.88 | +13.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | under | 229.5 | 1.90 | +13.0% | 269 | LOSS |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing TDs | under | 0.5 | 3.04 | +11.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 6.5 | 1.94 | +10.9% | 30 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.96 | +8.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 39.5 | 1.89 | +7.8% | 22 | LOSS |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | over | 54.5 | 1.91 | +6.8% | 76 | WIN |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.11 | +4.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.68 | +2.9% | 8 | LOSS |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | over | 56.5 | 1.88 | +1.1% | 76 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Indianapolis Colts or Tennessee Titans that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans | 47 | 68.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | 33 | 48.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts | 58 | 53.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.