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NFL · Mon, Oct 19, 2026
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Final score: Dallas Cowboys 13 · 23 Green Bay Packers. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.87 | +2.3% | WIN |
| Spread | home | -1.5 | 1.98 | +1.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.21 | +91.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 66.5 | 1.88 | +68.7% | 104 | LOSS |
| Tyler Goodson | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.91 | +63.6% | 0 | WIN |
| MarShawn Lloyd | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.87 | +59.8% | 10 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 76.5 | 1.90 | +44.8% | 64 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.63 | +43.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Bo Melton | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.86 | +32.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Melton | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 0.5 | 2.42 | +30.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 274.5 | 1.89 | +28.7% | 276 | LOSS |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.12 | +23.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Javonte Williams | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.93 | +23.1% | 9 | WIN |
| Javonte Williams | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.93 | +22.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.87 | +18.0% | 13 | WIN |
| Ryan Flournoy | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | under | 32.5 | 1.88 | +17.1% | 40 | LOSS |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.33 | +15.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Javonte Williams | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | under | 69.5 | 1.88 | +14.8% | 41 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 52.5 | 1.88 | +13.6% | 37 | WIN |
| MarShawn Lloyd | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.94 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| KaVontae Turpin | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +13.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Passing Yards | over | 277.5 | 1.90 | +10.8% | 258 | LOSS |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +9.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| KaVontae Turpin | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.88 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | under | 82.5 | 1.88 | +5.3% | 70 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 5.5 | 1.91 | +5.1% | 12 | LOSS |
| George Pickens | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | over | 71.5 | 1.88 | +4.8% | 73 | WIN |
| CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | under | 6.5 | 1.73 | +2.8% | 9 | LOSS |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.86 | +2.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MarShawn Lloyd | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.43 | +0.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Green Bay Packers or Dallas Cowboys that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers | 44 | 36.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys | 24 | 62.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 35 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans | 38 | 52.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys | 55 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers | 45 | 64.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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