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NFL · Sun, Nov 1, 2026
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Final score: Cleveland Browns 6 · 27 Pittsburgh Steelers. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -3.5 | 1.91 | +3.1% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.52 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | Pittsburgh Steelers | Rushing Yards | over | 0.5 | 1.97 | +39.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rico Dowdle | Pittsburgh Steelers | Rushing Yards | over | 30.5 | 1.90 | +32.3% | 56 | WIN |
| Germie Bernard | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +32.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Germie Bernard | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.91 | +30.6% | 30 | WIN |
| Germie Bernard | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.90 | +27.6% | 30 | WIN |
| Rico Dowdle | Pittsburgh Steelers | Rushing Yards | over | 32.5 | 1.92 | +26.6% | 56 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.03 | +25.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DK Metcalf | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 54.5 | 1.90 | +24.9% | 4 | WIN |
| DK Metcalf | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 53.5 | 1.91 | +23.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.78 | +17.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.92 | +17.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.61 | +17.1% | 2 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 47.5 | 1.90 | +17.1% | 37 | WIN |
| Rico Dowdle | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.96 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.88 | +15.7% | 35 | LOSS |
| Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | over | 26.5 | 1.88 | +14.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | under | 24.5 | 1.92 | +14.3% | 35 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.92 | +10.8% | 154 | WIN |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.88 | +9.9% | 37 | WIN |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.35 | +9.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rico Dowdle | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.86 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.29 | +7.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.21 | +7.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | +6.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Denzel Boston | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.90 | +6.0% | 37 | WIN |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.92 | +4.5% | 25 | WIN |
| Darnell Washington | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.71 | +3.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Rico Dowdle | Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.92 | +2.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.83 | +1.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns | Passing Yards | under | 210.5 | 1.90 | +1.1% | 324 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Steelers or Cleveland Browns that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans | 35 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints | 46 | 54.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns | 36 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 33 | 54.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at New York Jets | 42 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | 33 | 48.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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