MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Minnesota Twins 2 – 1 Cleveland Guardians. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +9.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.98 | +8.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.97 | +4.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +70.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.65 | +45.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +33.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.18 | +27.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +22.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +20.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.81 | +9.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.74 | +7.2% | 9 | LOSS |
| Daniel Schneemann | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +1.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.52 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
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