MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Houston Astros 3 – 0 Chicago Cubs. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.97 | +9.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.34 | +73.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Zach Cole | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.24 | +71.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +50.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +44.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +32.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +23.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +19.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +4.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
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