MLB · Thu, Jun 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 9 – 11 Houston Astros. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.29 | +13.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +13.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +25.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.67 | +25.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Taylor Trammell | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.97 | +15.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +5.2% | 2 | WIN |
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