Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jun 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 9 · 11 Houston Astros. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.29 | +13.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +13.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +38.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +25.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.67 | +25.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +17.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cesar Salazar | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.75 | +15.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Taylor Trammell | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.97 | +15.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +5.2% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Pittsburgh Pirates that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 15 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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