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MLB · Thu, Jun 25, 2026
Chicago Cubs at New York Mets
Final score: Chicago Cubs 4 · 3 New York Mets. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.91 | +5.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.95 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +52.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eric Wagaman | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.30 | +42.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.03 | +29.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +28.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +27.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +25.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +20.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +20.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +14.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +13.0% | 1 | WIN |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +2.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.35 | +1.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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