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MLB · Mon, Jun 29, 2026
Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.52 | +7.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +51.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +43.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +38.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +31.9% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +28.3% | 2 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +25.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +22.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +20.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.37 | +17.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +9.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.31 | +6.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +5.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +3.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +3.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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