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MLB · Tue, Jun 30, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 0 · 8 Philadelphia Phillies. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.87 | +4.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +27.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +20.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.83 | +13.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +12.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.70 | +5.8% | 9 | LOSS |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +3.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +1.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.71 | +1.1% | 6 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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