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MLB · Tue, Jun 30, 2026
Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Washington Nationals 8 · 1 Boston Red Sox. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +33.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +30.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +27.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +19.9% | 1 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +18.6% | 2 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +18.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +17.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carlos Narvaez | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +17.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +17.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +15.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +13.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +5.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.70 | +4.3% | 13 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +4.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Anthony Seigler | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.51 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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