Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Jul 1, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 6 · 10 Philadelphia Phillies. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.15 | +33.8% | 10 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +24.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +23.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.20 | +22.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +20.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +8.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +3.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +0.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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