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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Jul 1, 2026

San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs

Final score: San Diego Padres 7 · 9 Chicago Cubs. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score7 · 9
Tracked picks27
Hit rate66.7%
Decided / Wins27 / 18

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Jake CronenworthSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.51+55.9%3LOSS
Freddy FerminSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.32+54.5%0WIN
JP SearsSan Diego PadresStrikeoutsover3.51.69+33.8%4WIN
Jase BowenSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.51.84+27.0%0WIN
Manny MachadoSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.47+24.1%1WIN
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.44+15.4%0WIN
Nico HoernerChicago CubsHitsunder1.51.53+15.0%1WIN
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.61+13.9%0WIN
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.41+13.7%0WIN
Miguel AndujarSan Diego PadresHitsunder1.51.43+13.4%1WIN
Nico HoernerChicago CubsTotal Basesunder1.51.86+12.8%1WIN
Matthew BoydChicago CubsStrikeoutsover5.52.27+12.5%2LOSS
Walker BuehlerSan Diego PadresStrikeoutsover3.51.59+11.0%6WIN
Manny MachadoSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.87+10.7%5LOSS
Alex BregmanChicago CubsTotal Basesunder1.51.75+8.8%4LOSS
Seiya SuzukiChicago CubsHitsunder1.51.44+8.0%2LOSS
Carson KellyChicago CubsTotal Basesunder1.51.61+6.2%2LOSS
Miguel AndujarSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.75+5.7%1WIN
Alex BregmanChicago CubsHitsunder1.51.39+5.6%0WIN
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.57+5.2%1WIN
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.69+4.4%1WIN
Colin ReaChicago CubsStrikeoutsover3.51.68+4.0%5WIN
Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago CubsHitsunder1.51.43+3.0%1WIN
Samad TaylorSan Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.63+1.8%2LOSS
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresTotal Basesunder1.51.70+0.9%8LOSS
Michael BuschChicago CubsTotal Basesunder1.51.67+0.9%4LOSS
Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago CubsTotal Basesover1.51.81+0.2%4WIN

Recent MLB games for these teams

Other games involving Chicago Cubs or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.

Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET

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