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MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Final score: Minnesota Twins 6 · 1 New York Yankees. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.73 | +4.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kreidler | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.92 | +56.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +44.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyler Fedko | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +34.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Victor Caratini | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +32.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +28.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +26.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +18.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.93 | +15.8% | 9 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +11.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +6.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.69 | +4.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +3.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +3.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.85 | +0.1% | 6 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Minnesota Twinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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