Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Jul 20, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 5 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +13.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +11.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +7.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +7.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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