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MLB · Mon, Jul 20, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5 · 8 New York Yankees. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +50.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +34.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Max Schuemann | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +26.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +15.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.02 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.69 | +4.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.64 | +2.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.