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MLB · Wed, Jul 22, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 0 · 2 New York Yankees. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.94 | +33.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.94 | +21.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +20.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +19.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +18.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +13.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +9.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +8.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +6.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +1.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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