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MLB · Wed, Jul 29, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Athletics
Final score: Boston Red Sox 3 · 4 Athletics. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.93 | +17.0% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.65 | +8.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.73 | +100.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +53.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +41.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colby Thomas | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +30.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +18.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonah Heim | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +17.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.46 | +17.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +14.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +14.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +14.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +13.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +13.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +11.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +8.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.23 | +8.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +6.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +5.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.87 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andruw Monasterio | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Andruw Monasterio | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Colby Thomas | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Athletics or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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