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MLB · Thu, Aug 6, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 2 · 3 Chicago Cubs. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.08 | +14.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +59.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.31 | +57.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +43.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +41.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.16 | +38.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +35.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +29.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +16.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +13.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| David Peterson | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +10.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +10.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +5.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +4.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +4.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +4.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +3.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +3.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +1.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Toronto Blue Jays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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