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MLB · Mon, Aug 10, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 5 · 9 Minnesota Twins. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.92 | +10.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +29.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +20.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +8.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jackson Holliday | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +8.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +3.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +3.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +3.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dean Kremer | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +1.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Tyler O'Neill | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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