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MLB · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
Final score: Chicago Cubs 8 · 6 Washington Nationals. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.43 | +7.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.93 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.23 | +26.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +4.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 15 | 53.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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