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MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
Final score: Chicago Cubs 12 · 6 Washington Nationals. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.41 | +6.3% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.93 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +45.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +14.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +12.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +4.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +4.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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